Journeys Through Conflict: Narratives and Lessons [Paperback]

Journeys Through Conflict is the story of the Conflict Early Warning Systems (CEWS) project of the International Social Science Research Council. It relates the history of the project, presents its empirically grounded approach to anticipating violent conflict, and shows how the approach may be extended to other social science research arenas. Journeys Through Conflict projects alternate pathways to war and peace by a unique coding, graphing, and computational procedure that takes into account both contested conflict histories and future conflict resolutions.Journeys Through Conflict is the story of the Conflict Early Warning Systems (CEWS) project of the International Social Science Research Council. It relates the history of the project, presents its empirically grounded approach to anticipating violent conflict, and shows how the approach may be extended to other social science research arenas. Phase analysis of conflict life cycles, comparative case studies, reconstructed narratives, and policy lessons are hallmarks of this pathbreaking work by an international, interdisciplinary group of expert conflict analysts. Journeys Through Conflict projects alternate pathways to war and peace by a unique coding, graphing, and computational procedure that takes into account both contested conflict histories and future conflict resolutions.Chapter 1 Preface: The Origins of the CEWS Vision Part 2 Building Conflict Early Warning Systems Chapter 3 The Challenge of Developing Conflict Early Warning Systems: A Proposal Chapter 4 The Double Design of the CEWS Project Chapter 5 Peacemaking and Conflict Transformation in Guatemala Part 6 Comparative Studies of Prevention Successes and Failures Chapter 7 Could Humanitarian Crises Have Been Anticipated in Burundi, Rwanda, and Zaire? A Comparative Study of Aniticipatory Indicators Chapter 8 Escalatory Dynamics in the Moldova-Dniestr and Chechnya Conflicts Chapter 9 Why Are Some Ethnic Disputes Settled Peacefully, While Others Become lă9