Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios [Paperback]

With scenario planning, leaders, executives, and decision makers can develop strategies for multiple futures, making their organizations resilient, agile, and capable of adapting to new circumstances at the speed of change. Here Thomas Chermack addresses the method’s complexities and, unlike other books, deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying those scenarios and assessing their impact.

This is the most comprehensive guide available to the scenario planning process, offering a thorough discussion of the method’s theoretical foundations and detailing a five-phase scenario planning system. Chermack uses a real-world case study to illuminate the entire process—from project preparation to scenario exploration, development, implementation, and project assessment. He provides specific techniques and tools for gathering and analyzing relevant data, structuring and managing projects, and avoiding common pitfalls.List of Figures
Foreword by Louis van der Merwe
Preface

Part 1 -- Foundations of Scenario Planning
Chapter 1: Introduction to Performance-Based Scenario Planning
Chapter 2: The Theoretical Foundations of Performance-Based Scenario Planning
Chapter 3: The Performance-Based Scenario System
Chapter 4: Scenario Case Study

Part 2 -- Phases of the Performance-Based Scenario System
Chapter 5 Project Preparation Phase
Chapter 6 Scenario Exploration Phase
Chapter 7 Scenario Development Phase
Chapter 8 Scenario Implementation Phase
Chapter 9 Project Assessment Phase

Part 3 -- Leading Scenario Projects
Chapter 10 Managing Scenario Projects
Chapter 11 Human Perceptions in the Scenario System
Chapter 12 Initiating your First Scenario Project
References
Index
About the Author“All CEOs, university presidents, leaders of national nonprofits, and politicians face the same problem: coping with uncertainty. Scenario planning al3¦